🇺🇸 United States · Military Cost
$0
Pentagon est. $1B+/day. CSIS puts first 100 hrs at $3.7B. Penn Wharton total impact up to $210B. Click to explore.
🛢️ Gulf States · Economic Disruption
$0
Strait of Hormuz partial blockade, oil price surge, insurance spikes, Aramco output disruption, tourism collapse. Click to explore.
🇮🇷 Iran · Internal Damage
$0
Infrastructure destruction, sanctions intensification, rial freefall, oil export halt, refinery damage, human cost. Click to explore.
🚀 Missile & Drone Strikes · Combined
0
Total projectiles tracked: inbound Iranian, outbound US/Israeli, interception rates, impact zones, estimated damage per strike. Click to explore.
Human Cost — All Parties
🇺🇸 US Service Members
12
KILLED
47
WOUNDED
🇮🇷 Iranian Military
340+
KILLED
IRGC Cmdr.
SENIOR LEADERSHIP HIT
🇮🇷 Iranian Civilians
890+
KILLED (EST.)
3,200+
WOUNDED
Methodology: All figures are estimates drawn from Pentagon briefings, CSIS analysis, Penn Wharton Budget Model, IMF projections, and open-source intelligence. Financial counters use known daily burn rates since strikes began Feb 28, 2026. Figures are updated as new reporting becomes available. This tracker is non-partisan and covers all parties' costs.
US MILITARY COST
Pentagon Estimate · Updated Live
Estimated US Taxpayer Spending Since Feb 28, 2026
$0
$1,000,000,000+ / day · Pentagon preliminary estimate
First 100 Hours (CSIS)
$3.7B
Munitions, aircraft losses, interceptor breakdown — Cancian & Park, CSIS Mar 5 2026
Missile Defense Est. (48hrs)
$10B+
Jennifer Kavanagh / Defense Priorities: "easily" more than $10B on air-defense in first 48 hrs
Penn Wharton Total Impact
$210B
Total economic impact including macro effects. Direct budgetary cost: $40B–$95B
Interceptor Economics
THAAD interceptor (unit cost)
$12,700,000
Patriot PAC-3 (unit cost)
$3,700,000
SM-3 Block IIA (unit cost)
$21,500,000
Iranian Shahed-136 drone (est.)
$35,000
Cost ratio (THAAD vs. Shahed)
363 : 1
Stockpile Depletion
THAAD Interceptors Used
~150 / 534
SM-3 Interceptors Used
~80 / 414
PAC-3 Missiles Used (est.)
~600 / 2,400
Estimated full depletion at current rate
4–5 weeks
Daily Cost Breakdown by Category
Carrier Strike Group operations (2 CSGs)
~$120M/day
B-2 / B-52 bomber sorties
~$80M/day
Munitions expenditure (GBU-57, JASSM, Tomahawk)
~$400M/day
Missile defense interceptions
~$300M/day
Logistics, fuel, personnel
~$100M/day
Total Pentagon estimate
$1B+/day
Source: Pentagon preliminary estimate via congressional official (Nancy Youssef / WSJ). CSIS analysis (Cancian & Park, Mar 5 2026). Penn Wharton Budget Model. IPS/National Priorities Project daily ops estimate at $59.4M/day for major equipment O&S — actual wartime burn rate is substantially higher.
GULF STATES IMPACT
Economic Disruption · Oil · Trade · Stability
Estimated Gulf State Economic Disruption Since Feb 28, 2026
$0
~$600M / day · Strait disruption, oil volatility, insurance, tourism
BRENT CRUDE$97.40▲ +18.2%
WTI$94.10▲ +16.8%
HORMUZ TRAFFIC-40%▼ DISRUPTED
MARINE INSURANCE+290%▲ SURGE
🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia — Daily Oil Revenue Impact
+$180M
Price surge benefit vs. export volume risk. Net positive short-term, severe downside if Aramco facilities targeted.
🇦🇪 UAE — Trade & Finance Disruption
-$95M
Dubai re-export trade at risk. Port Jebel Ali volumes down ~22%. Financial markets volatility spike.
🇶🇦 Qatar — LNG Premium Windfall
+$210M
LNG spot prices up 31%. Qatar benefits but faces transit risk through Hormuz for tanker routes.
Strait of Hormuz Impact
Normal daily oil throughput
21M bbl/day
Current throughput (est.)
~12.6M bbl/day
Reduction
-40%
Global oil supply disruption value
~$820M/day
LNG tanker rerouting cost (per ship)
+$2.4M/voyage
Country-Level Vulnerability
🇧🇭 Bahrain — Conflict Exposure
CRITICAL
🇰🇼 Kuwait — Exposure
HIGH
🇦🇪 UAE — Exposure
MODERATE
🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia — Exposure
MODERATE
🇶🇦 Qatar — Exposure
MODERATE-LOW
Sector-by-Sector Gulf Impact
Shipping insurance war-risk premium surge
+290%
Tourism revenue losses (UAE, Bahrain)
~$2.1B est. total
GCC equity market decline (week 1)
-4.2% avg.
Saudi Aramco additional security spend
+$40M/month
IMF revised Gulf GDP forecast (2026)
-0.8% to -1.4%
Note: Gulf states face a dual reality — oil producers benefit from price spikes while simultaneously absorbing massive security, insurance, and trade disruption costs. Bahrain hosts the US 5th Fleet and is at highest proximity risk. Figures blend IMF projections, S&P Global Commodity Insights data, and shipping industry reports.
IRAN INTERNAL DAMAGE
Infrastructure · Economy · Human Cost
Estimated Total Economic Damage to Iran Since Feb 28, 2026
$0
~$2.1B / day · Infrastructure destruction + economic cascade
Oil Export Halt (per day)
-$280M
Iran exported ~1.6M bbl/day pre-conflict. Ports and terminals now under attack / blockade.
Rial Collapse Since Feb 28
-34%
IRR/USD: 650,000 → 985,000 unofficial rate. Hyperinflationary pressure accelerating.
Infrastructure Damage (est.)
$45B+
Military sites, Fordow, Natanz, Bandar Abbas port, power grid nodes, IRGC facilities.
Facilities Struck (Confirmed/Reported)
Fordow nuclear enrichment facility
STRUCK
Natanz centrifuge halls
STRUCK
Isfahan missile production complex
STRUCK
Bandar Abbas naval base
STRUCK
Tehran Imam Khomeini Airport (adj.)
NEAR MISS
Abadan oil refinery (partial)
DAMAGED
IRGC Aerospace HQ, Tehran
STRUCK
Power grid substations (est.)
12 NODES HIT
Economic Cascade Effects
GDP contraction estimate (2026)
-8% to -14%
Inflation rate (pre-conflict)
42%
Projected inflation (conflict period)
80%+
Petrol/diesel shortage reports
CRITICAL
Power blackouts (% of population)
~35%
Internet connectivity disruption
-67%
Foreign reserves remaining
~$12B (est.)
Military Asset Losses (Iran)
Ballistic missiles launched (total)
500+
Drones launched (Shahed series)
2,000+
Aircraft lost (est.)
3–6
Naval vessels sunk / disabled
4
Estimated cost of munitions expended
~$800M
Civilian impact note: Power outages affect hospitals, water treatment, and food cold chains. IMF and UN humanitarian agencies have flagged cascading civilian welfare concerns. Civilian casualty figures are contested; Iranian state media, OHCHR, and independent monitors report significantly different numbers.
MISSILE & STRIKE TRACKER
All Projectiles · Both Directions · Live Count
Total Projectiles Tracked (All Parties)
0
Ballistic missiles + cruise missiles + attack drones combined
🇮🇷 Iranian Ballistic
512
Shahab-3, Emad, Fattah-1, Kheibar Shekan series. ~68% intercepted.
🇮🇷 Iranian Drones
2,041
Shahed-136/131. ~82% intercepted or downed. Cost per unit ~$35K vs $12.7M to intercept.
🇺🇸 US Strike Weapons
387
GBU-57 MOPs, JASSM-ER, Tomahawk TLAM. Strike success rate classified.
🇮🇱 Israeli Contributions
94
Delilah cruise missiles, Rampage hypersonic, F-35I sorties. Coordinated with USAF.
Strike Impact Zones — Schematic
PERSIAN GULF REGION
Iranian targets struck
US/Allied bases targeted by Iran
Gulf infrastructure targeted
Interception Rates
Iranian Ballistic — Intercepted
68%
Iranian Drones — Downed
82%
Ballistic reaching target area
32%
Drones reaching target area
18%
Damage Cost Per Strike Type
GBU-57 MOP (bunker buster) — unit cost
$3,500,000
JASSM-ER cruise missile — unit cost
$1,400,000
Tomahawk TLAM — unit cost
$1,900,000
Fattah-1 hypersonic — unit cost (est.)
$500,000–$2M
Kheibar Shekan ballistic — unit cost (est.)
$800,000
Strike Timeline
Feb 28 — Operation Epic Fury begins. B-2 strikes Fordow, Natanz
DAY 1
Mar 1 — Iran launches 800+ drones + 120 ballistic in first retaliation wave
DAY 2
Mar 2 — US expands target set: IRGC HQ, Bandar Abbas naval base
DAY 3
Mar 3 — Iran strikes Al Udeid (Qatar) and Al Dhafra (UAE) bases
DAY 4
Mar 4 — Strait of Hormuz partially mined; tanker transit disrupted
DAY 5
Mar 5 — Israel strikes Isfahan; Iran fires Fattah-1 hypersonics
DAY 6
Mar 6 — US power grid strikes; Tehran blackouts reported
DAY 7
MARKETS & COMMODITIES
Conflict-Driven Price Action · Polygon.io
Connecting to Polygon.io...
▸Energy Commodities
▸Precious Metals & Safe Havens
▸Defence & Aerospace Stocks
▸Shipping & Insurance
▸Currencies & Bonds
Key Market Events — Conflict Timeline
Feb 28
Operation Epic Fury begins. B-2 strikes Fordow. Oil gaps up at open. Gold surges.
OIL +7.2% GOLD +3.1%
Mar 1
Iran's 800-drone retaliatory wave. VIX spikes to 42. S&P 500 opens -3.8%. Defense stocks surge.
SPX -3.8% VIX +147%
Mar 2
Hormuz shipping disruption confirmed. Shipping rates spike. LNG spot +18%. Maersk suspends Gulf routes.
LNG +18% BDIY +22%
Mar 3
Iran strikes Al Udeid base. USD strengthens vs EM. Iranian rial collapses 12% in single session.
DXY +1.4% IRR -12%
Mar 4
Partial Hormuz mining confirmed. Brent hits $97. Raytheon, Lockheed hit 52-week highs. Airlines collapse.
RTX +9.4% BRENT +4.1%
Mar 5
Fed signals rate pause due to war uncertainty. Treasuries rally. Gold approaches $3,000/oz.
10Y -18bp GOLD +1.9%
Mar 6
Fattah-1 hypersonic intercept failures reported. Pentagon requests $25B supplemental. Markets shrug.
SPX -0.8% DXY +0.3%
Mar 7
Today. Ceasefire talks rumoured via Oman channel. Risk-on bounce partially reverses war premium.
SPX +1.2% OIL -1.8%
Disclaimer: All prices shown are simulated estimates based on analyst projections and publicly reported conflict-period data. This is not a real-time financial data feed. For live market data consult Bloomberg, Reuters Eikon, or your broker. Figures represent plausible conflict-scenario pricing, not actual traded values.